Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Canadian Pacific Kansas City, Canadian National Railway and Norfolk Southern

17.12.24 10:03 Uhr

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For Immediate ReleaseChicago, IL – December 17, 2024 – Today, Zacks Equity Research discusses Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. CP, Canadian National Railway Co. CNI and Norfolk Southern Corp. NSC.Industry: RailroadLink: https://www.zacks.com/commentary/2384135/3-railroad-stocks-to-watch-from-the-challenging-industryThe Zacks Transportation - Rail industry faces challenges, ranging from inflationary pressures and resultant high interest rates to concerns pertaining to supply-chain disruptions.Despite the challenges surrounding the industry, Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd., Canadian National Railway Co. and Norfolk Southern Corp. appear better placed to tide over the challenges. Declining fuel costs represent a tailwind as far as bottom-line growth is concerned.Industry DescriptionThe Zacks Transportation - Rail industry includes railroad operators transporting freight (such as agricultural products, industrial products, coal, intermodal, automotive, consumer products, metals and minerals), primarily across North America. These companies focus on providing logistics and supply-chain expertise services.While freight constitutes a significant chunk of revenues, some of these companies also derive a small portion of their top line from other rail-related services, including third-party railcar and locomotive repairs, routine land sales and container sales, among others. A few companies offer service to multiple production and distribution facilities. Besides locomotives, some of these companies own equipment of leased locomotives, railcars etc.Factors Deciding the Industry's OutlookStrong Financial Returns for Shareholders: With economic activities gaining pace from the pandemic lows, more and more companies are allocating their increasing cash pile through dividends and buybacks to pacify long-suffering shareholders. This underlines their financial strength and confidence in the business. Among the Transportation – Railroad industry players, CNI and CSX announced an increase in the quarterly dividend this year.Uptick in Oil Price is a Headwind: The increase in expenses on fuel represents a concern for the industry. Notably, oil prices increased almost 1.1% from the beginning of October 2024 to date. As fuel expenses represent a key input cost for any transportation player, a rise in oil prices does not bode well for the bottom-line growth of railroad stocks.Focus on Cost Cuts to Drive Bottom Line: Despite cooling inflation, we are by no means out of the woods. The hotter-than-expected inflation reading for September substantiates our view. We note that the industry has been experiencing significant levels of inflation, including higher prices for labor, freight and fuel. The industry players are focusing on cost-cutting measures, and improving productivity and efficiency to mitigate high expenses and a weaker-than-expected demand scenario.Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Gloomy ProspectsThe Zacks Railroad industry, housed within the broader Transportation sector, currently carries a Zacks Industry Rank #145. This rank places it in the bottom 42% of more than 250 Zacks industries.The group’s Zacks Industry Rank, basically the average of the Zacks Rank of all the member stocks, indicates bleak near-term prospects. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.The sell-side analysts covering the companies in this industry have been decreasing their estimates. Over the past year, the industry’s consensus earnings estimate for the current year has decreased 6.2%.Before we present a few stocks that investors can retain, given their growth prospects, let’s take a look at the industry’s recent stock market performance and current valuation.Industry Underperforms S&P 500 and SectorThe Zacks Transportation - Rail industry has underperformed the Zacks S&P 500 Composite index as well as the broader sector over the past year.Over this period, the industry has declined 3.6% compared with the S&P 500 Index’s northward movement of 28.6% and the broader sector’s growth of 0.9%.Industry's Current ValuationBased on the trailing 12-month price-to-book (P/B), a commonly used multiple for valuing railroad stocks, the industry is currently trading at 6.31X compared with the S&P 500’s 8.86X. It is above the sector’s P/B ratio of 4.58X.Over the past five years, the industry has traded as high as 10.92X, as low as 5.72X and at the median of 7.58X.3 Stocks to Keep an Eye OnWe are presenting three Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stocks that are well-positioned to grow in the near term. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.Canadian Pacific: Headquartered in Calgary, Canada, Canadian Pacific manages a transcontinental freight railway in Canada, the United States and Mexico.Improvement in freight revenues bode well for Canadian Pacific Kansas City. Efforts to reward shareholders through dividends are commendable. Canadian Pacific's earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the past four quarters (missing the mark in the remaining two quarters), delivering an average surprise of 1.52%.CNI: Based in Montreal, Canada, Canadian National is involved in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and marine transportation and logistics business in Canada and the United States.Canadian National's consistent efforts to reward its shareholders via dividends and buybacks are encouraging and highlight its financial strength. Strong cash flow generating ability supports its shareholder-friendly activities. For 2024, CNI now expects to deliver adjusted diluted EPS growth in the low-single-digit range. CSX has a stellar track record with respect to earnings surprises. The company surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the past four quarters (in line with the mark in the remaining quarter), with an average beat of 1.64%.Norfolk Southern: Headquartered in Atlanta, GA, Norfolk Southern engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products and finished goods in the United States.Ecommerce demand is supporting Norfolk Southern’s shipment volumes, its PSR and other cost reduction initiatives are increasing its operating efficiency, while steady shareholder returns supports prices. The company's earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the past four quarters (missing the mark in the remaining two quarters), delivering an average surprise of 1.58%.Why Haven't You Looked at Zacks' Top Stocks?Since 2000, our top stock-picking strategies have blown away the S&P's +7.0 average gain per year. Amazingly, they soared with average gains of +44.9%, +48.4% and +55.2% per year.Today you can access their live picks without cost or obligation.See Stocks Free >>Media ContactZacks Investment Research800-767-3771 ext. 9339support@zacks.comhttps://www.zacks.comPast performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.Zacks Naming Top 10 Stocks for 2025Want to be tipped off early to our 10 top picks for the entirety of 2025?History suggests their performance could be sensational.From 2012 (when our Director of Research Sheraz Mian assumed responsibility for the portfolio) through November, 2024, the Zacks Top 10 Stocks gained +2,112.6%, more than QUADRUPLING the S&P 500’s +475.6%. Now Sheraz is combing through 4,400 companies to handpick the best 10 tickers to buy and hold in 2025. Don’t miss your chance to get in on these stocks when they’re released on January 2.Be First to New Top 10 Stocks >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Canadian National Railway Company (CNI): Free Stock Analysis Report Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC): Free Stock Analysis Report Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP): Free Stock Analysis ReportTo read this article on Zacks.com click here.Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu Canadian National Railway Co.

DatumRatingAnalyst
24.10.2018Canadian National Railway OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
25.07.2018Canadian National Railway HoldStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
09.07.2018Canadian National Railway BuyDeutsche Bank AG
24.05.2018Canadian National Railway HoldStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
24.04.2018Canadian National Railway OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
DatumRatingAnalyst
24.10.2018Canadian National Railway OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
25.07.2018Canadian National Railway HoldStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
09.07.2018Canadian National Railway BuyDeutsche Bank AG
24.05.2018Canadian National Railway HoldStifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.
24.04.2018Canadian National Railway OutperformCowen and Company, LLC
DatumRatingAnalyst
28.10.2016Canadian National Railway NeutralSeaport Global Securities
27.09.2016Canadian National Railway HoldLoop Capital
26.04.2016Canadian National Railway Equal WeightBarclays Capital
16.07.2015Canadian National Railway Equal WeightBarclays Capital
14.10.2014Canadian National Railway NeutralUBS AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
01.11.2017Canadian National Railway SellDeutsche Bank AG

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