Why Allstate (ALL) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

01.04.25 18:10 Uhr

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Looking for a stock that has been consistently beating earnings estimates and might be well positioned to keep the streak alive in its next quarterly report? Allstate (ALL), which belongs to the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry, could be a great candidate to consider.When looking at the last two reports, this insurer has recorded a strong streak of surpassing earnings estimates. The company has topped estimates by 47.77%, on average, in the last two quarters.For the last reported quarter, Allstate came out with earnings of $7.67 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.51 per share, representing a surprise of 17.82%. For the previous quarter, the company was expected to post earnings of $2.20 per share and it actually produced earnings of $3.91 per share, delivering a surprise of 77.73%.Price and EPS SurpriseWith this earnings history in mind, recent estimates have been moving higher for Allstate. In fact, the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) for the company is positive, which is a great sign of an earnings beat, especially when you combine this metric with its nice Zacks Rank.Our research shows that stocks with the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time. In other words, if you have 10 stocks with this combination, the number of stocks that beat the consensus estimate could be as high as seven.The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a version of the Zacks Consensus whose definition is related to change. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier.Allstate currently has an Earnings ESP of +7.32%, which suggests that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. This positive Earnings ESP when combined with the stock's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) indicates that another beat is possibly around the corner. We expect the company's next earnings report to be released on April 30, 2025.Investors should note, however, that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss, but a negative value does reduce the predictive power of this metric.Many companies end up beating the consensus EPS estimate, but that may not be the sole basis for their stocks moving higher. On the other hand, some stocks may hold their ground even if they end up missing the consensus estimate.Because of this, it's really important to check a company's Earnings ESP ahead of its quarterly release to increase the odds of success. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 DaysJust released: Experts distill 7 elite stocks from the current list of 220 Zacks Rank #1 Strong Buys. They deem these tickers "Most Likely for Early Price Pops."Since 1988, the full list has beaten the market more than 2X over with an average gain of +24.3% per year. So be sure to give these hand picked 7 your immediate attention. See them now >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report The Allstate Corporation (ALL): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu Allstate Corp.

DatumRatingAnalyst
15.01.2019Allstate BuyCompass Point
11.08.2017Allstate OverweightBarclays Capital
03.04.2017Allstate Mkt PerformFBR & Co.
09.05.2016Allstate BuyDeutsche Bank AG
10.08.2015Allstate BuyDeutsche Bank AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
15.01.2019Allstate BuyCompass Point
11.08.2017Allstate OverweightBarclays Capital
09.05.2016Allstate BuyDeutsche Bank AG
10.08.2015Allstate BuyDeutsche Bank AG
04.08.2015Allstate OverweightBarclays Capital
DatumRatingAnalyst
03.04.2017Allstate Mkt PerformFBR & Co.
05.08.2015Allstate NeutralCompass Point
04.08.2015Allstate Sector PerformRBC Capital Markets
07.05.2015Allstate NeutralCompass Point
31.10.2014Allstate NeutralCompass Point
DatumRatingAnalyst

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