Why Is Norfolk Southern (NSC) Down 2.4% Since Last Earnings Report?

28.08.25 17:30 Uhr

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Norfolk Southern (NSC). Shares have lost about 2.4% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Norfolk Southern due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at the latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Norfolk Southern Corporation before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.Earnings Beat at Norfolk Southern in Q2NSC's second-quarter 2025 earnings (excluding 12 cents from non-recurring items) of $3.29 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.27 and increased 7.5% year over year, owing to lower costs.Railway operating revenues were $3.11 billion in the quarter under review, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.13 billion. The top line increased 2.2% year over year, driven by the 3% rise in overall volumes. Total revenue per unit dipped 1% year over year. Income from railway operations rose 4% year over year to $1.17 billion. Railway operating expenses inched up 1% on a year-over-year basis to $1.9 billion, primarily due to a double-digit increase in expenses on minerals and other items.Q2 Segmental PerformanceMerchandise revenues increased 4% year over year to $2 billion. Revenue per unit decreased 1% year over year.Intermodal’s revenues were flat year over year at $743 million.  While segmental volumes increased 1%, revenue per unit inched down 1% year over year.Coal revenues were $395 million, down 1% year over year. Coal volumes increased 12% year over year. Revenue per unit declined 11% in the reported quarter.LiquidityNorfolk Southern, currently carrying a Zacks Rank#4 (Sell), exited the June quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1.3 billion compared with $1.64 billion at the end of 2024. NSC had a long-term debt of $16.5 billion at the second-quarter end compared with $16.6 billion at the 2024-end.2025 Guidance TweakedFor 2025, NSC now expects year-over-year revenue growth in the 2-3% band (previous expectation was for 3% growth). Adjusted operating ratio improvement is now expected to be in the band of 100-150 basis points year over year compared with the 150-basis-point growth anticipated earlier. With the cost-control initiatives yielding strong results, NSC now expects productivity savings in 2025 to exceed $175 million (previous expectation was above $150 million).How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?It turns out, fresh estimates have trended downward during the past month.VGM ScoresAt this time, Norfolk Southern has a subpar Growth Score of D, however its Momentum Score is doing a bit better with a C. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock has a score of D on the value side, putting it in the bottom 40% for value investors.Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of D. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.OutlookEstimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. It's no surprise Norfolk Southern has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). We expect a below average return from the stock in the next few months.Performance of an Industry PlayerNorfolk Southern is part of the Zacks Transportation - Rail industry. Over the past month, Canadian National (CNI), a stock from the same industry, has gained 3.2%. The company reported its results for the quarter ended June 2025 more than a month ago.CN reported revenues of $3.09 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of -2.4%. EPS of $1.35 for the same period compares with $1.35 a year ago.For the current quarter, CN is expected to post earnings of $1.40 per share, indicating a change of +11.1% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate remained unchanged over the last 30 days.The overall direction and magnitude of estimate revisions translate into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for CN. Also, the stock has a VGM Score of D.Quantum Computing Stocks Set To SoarArtificial intelligence has already reshaped the investment landscape, and its convergence with quantum computing could lead to the most significant wealth-building opportunities of our time.Today, you have a chance to position your portfolio at the forefront of this technological revolution. In our urgent special report, Beyond AI: The Quantum Leap in Computing Power, you'll discover the little-known stocks we believe will win the quantum computing race and deliver massive gains to early investors.Access the Report Free Now >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC): Free Stock Analysis Report Canadian National Railway Company (CNI): Free Stock Analysis ReportThis article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com).Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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DatumRatingAnalyst
09.08.2018Southern Equal WeightBarclays Capital
24.07.2018Southern Sector PerformScotia Howard Weil
26.06.2018Southern HoldDeutsche Bank AG
23.01.2018Southern NeutralMizuho
29.09.2017Southern OutperformRBC Capital Markets
DatumRatingAnalyst
29.09.2017Southern OutperformRBC Capital Markets
01.08.2017Southern BuyDeutsche Bank AG
14.07.2016Southern OverweightBarclays Capital
12.06.2015Southern BuyArgus Research Company
24.04.2015Southern BuyMizuho
DatumRatingAnalyst
09.08.2018Southern Equal WeightBarclays Capital
24.07.2018Southern Sector PerformScotia Howard Weil
26.06.2018Southern HoldDeutsche Bank AG
23.01.2018Southern NeutralMizuho
28.06.2017Southern Sector PerformRBC Capital Markets
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