SJM's Q2 Earnings on the Horizon: Is a Beat Expected for the Stock?

The J. M. Smucker Company SJM is likely to register top-line growth when it reports second-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on Nov. 26. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.27 billion, implying a 16.9% increase from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure. The consensus mark for earnings has risen by a penny in the past 30 days to $2.50 per share, though it indicates a 3.5% decline from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. SJM has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 10.2%, on average.Stay up-to-date with all quarterly releases: See Zacks Earnings Calendar.Factors Likely to Fuel SJM’s Upcoming ResultsThe J. M. Smucker is likely to have gained from its strategic focus, progress in delivering core business objectives, successful integration of Hostess Brands, and commitment to transformation, cost discipline and cash generation. The company’s commitment to increasing its focus and resources to reshape its portfolio to achieve sustainable growth across pet food and pet snacks, coffee and snacking categories has been working well. The J.M. Smucker has been focused on reshaping its portfolio through prudent acquisitions and divestitures. The company divested the Canadian condiments business in January 2024 and Sahale Snacks in November 2023. On the flip side, it acquired the premier snacking company, Hostess Brands, in November 2023. The impacts of these moves are expected in the quarter under review.The J. M. Smucker Company Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise The J. M. Smucker Company price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | The J. M. Smucker Company QuoteChallenges Expected in SJM’s Q2 ReleaseThe J. M. Smucker operates in a dynamic consumer environment, with inflation and reduced discretionary spending weighing on convenience store traffic. On its first-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings call, management lowered its guidance for fiscal 2025 due to a difficult operating landscape and elevated green coffee costs. This raises concerns for the quarter under review as well.The revised net sales guidance reflects a dynamic consumer landscape shaped by ongoing inflationary pressures and reduced discretionary income, impacting the dog snacks and sweet baked goods categories. It also considers the anticipated effects of demand elasticity within the coffee portfolio due to further pricing actions driven by higher-than-expected green coffee costs. However, these challenges are likely to be somewhat offset by an elevated volume of Uncrustables sandwiches. Apart from this, The J. M. Smucker has been incurring high selling, distribution and administrative (SD&A) costs. In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, management expects adjusted EPS to decline in mid-single digits due to elevated SD&A and interest expenses.Earnings Whispers for SJMOur proven model predicts an earnings beat for The J. M. Smucker this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is the case here.The J. M. Smucker carries a Zacks Rank #3 and has an Earnings ESP of +0.22%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.Other Stocks With the Favorable CombinationHere are some other companies worth considering, as our model shows that these also have the correct combination to beat on earnings this time.Casey's General Stores CASY currently has an Earnings ESP of +5.22% and a Zacks Rank of 2. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CASY’s quarterly revenues is pegged at $4.05 billion, which implies a 0.5% decline from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.However, CASY’s bottom line is anticipated to increase year over year when it reports second-quarter fiscal 2025 results. The consensus estimate for earnings is pegged at $4.28 per share, indicating 0.9% growth from the year-ago quarter. CASY has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 15.8%, on average.Conagra Brands CAG currently has an Earnings ESP of +2.07% and a Zacks Rank of 3 at present. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CAG’s quarterly revenues is pegged at $3.15 billion, which suggests a 1.8% dip from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. The company is also likely to register a bottom-line decline when it reports second-quarter fiscal 2025 results. The consensus estimate for Conagra Brands’ earnings is pegged at 68 cents per share, calling for a 4.2% drop from the year-ago quarter. CAG has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.1%, on average.Dollar Tree DLTR has an Earnings ESP of +2.80% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The company is likely to register top and bottom-line growth when it reports third-quarter fiscal 2024 results. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DLTR’s quarterly revenues is pegged at $7.45 billion, which indicates 1.9% growth from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter.The consensus estimate for Dollar Tree’s quarterly earnings has risen by 1 cent over the past 30 days to $1.07 per share. The figure calls for an increase of 10.3% from the year-ago quarter’s number. DLTR delivered an average negative earnings surprise of 10.9% in the trailing four quarters.Research Chief Names "Single Best Pick to Double"From thousands of stocks, 5 Zacks experts each have chosen their favorite to skyrocket +100% or more in months to come. From those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian hand-picks one to have the most explosive upside of all.This company targets millennial and Gen Z audiences, generating nearly $1 billion in revenue last quarter alone. A recent pullback makes now an ideal time to jump aboard. Of course, all our elite picks aren’t winners but this one could far surpass earlier Zacks’ Stocks Set to Double like Nano-X Imaging which shot up +129.6% in little more than 9 months.Free: See Our Top Stock And 4 Runners UpWant the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR): Free Stock Analysis Report Conagra Brands (CAG): Free Stock Analysis Report The J. M. Smucker Company (SJM): Free Stock Analysis Report Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY): Free Stock Analysis ReportTo read this article on Zacks.com click here.Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks Weiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks