Carnival Corporation (CCL) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

10.10.24 15:15 Uhr

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Have you been paying attention to shares of Carnival (CCL)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 22.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $20.45 in the previous session. Carnival has gained 9% since the start of the year compared to the 0.4% move for the Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and the 16.4% return for the Zacks Leisure and Recreation Services industry.What's Driving the Outperformance?The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on September 30, 2024, Carnival reported EPS of $1.27 versus consensus estimate of $1.17 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 1.04%.For the current fiscal year, Carnival is expected to post earnings of $1.28 per share on $25.13 billion in revenues. Meanwhile, for the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.62 per share on $26.03 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 26.02% and 3.57%, respectively.Valuation MetricsCarnival may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.Carnival has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 15.7X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 17.8X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 8.9X versus its peer group's average of 8.9X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.Zacks RankWe also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Carnival currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Carnival fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Carnival shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.How Does CCL Stack Up to the Competition?Shares of CCL have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL). RCL has a Zacks Rank of # 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of A, and a Momentum Score of F.Earnings were strong last quarter. Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. beat our consensus estimate by 15.88%, and for the current fiscal year, RCL is expected to post earnings of $11.57 per share on revenue of $16.43 billion.Shares of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. have gained 19% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 16.69X and a P/CF of 14.59X.The Leisure and Recreation Services industry is in the top 32% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for CCL and RCL, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.Zacks' Research Chief Names "Stock Most Likely to Double"Our team of experts has just released the 5 stocks with the greatest probability of gaining +100% or more in the coming months. Of those 5, Director of Research Sheraz Mian highlights the one stock set to climb highest.This top pick is among the most innovative financial firms. With a fast-growing customer base (already 50+ million) and a diverse set of cutting edge solutions, this stock is poised for big gains. Of course, all our elite picks aren’t winners but this one could far surpass earlier Zacks’ Stocks Set to Double like Nano-X Imaging which shot up +129.6% in little more than 9 months.Free: See Our Top Stock And 4 Runners UpWant the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Carnival Corporation (CCL): Free Stock Analysis Report Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (RCL): Free Stock Analysis ReportTo read this article on Zacks.com click here.Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Analysen zu Carnival plc

DatumRatingAnalyst
12.09.2014Carnival HaltenNorddeutsche Landesbank (Nord/LB)
21.12.2012Carnival kaufenExane-BNP Paribas SA
02.10.2012Carnival equal-weightMorgan Stanley
02.02.2011Carnival overweightMorgan Stanley
28.01.2011Carnival kaufenFuchsbriefe
DatumRatingAnalyst
21.12.2012Carnival kaufenExane-BNP Paribas SA
02.02.2011Carnival overweightMorgan Stanley
28.01.2011Carnival kaufenFuchsbriefe
11.02.2005Carnival: Outperform Credit Suisse First Boston
DatumRatingAnalyst
12.09.2014Carnival HaltenNorddeutsche Landesbank (Nord/LB)
02.10.2012Carnival equal-weightMorgan Stanley
DatumRatingAnalyst

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