Is Most-Watched Stock Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) Worth Betting on Now?

03.12.24 15:00 Uhr

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Dell Technologies (DELL) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.Over the past month, shares of this computer and technology services provider have returned -3.1%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.8% change. During this period, the Zacks Computer - Micro Computers industry, which Dell Technologies falls in, has gained 7.1%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future direction?Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision.Revisions to Earnings EstimatesRather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.Dell Technologies is expected to post earnings of $2.51 per share for the current quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +14.1%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -4%.For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $7.82 points to a change of +9.7% from the prior year. Over the last 30 days, this estimate has changed +0.2%.For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $9.57 indicates a change of +22.4% from what Dell Technologies is expected to report a year ago. Over the past month, the estimate has changed -0.2%.With an impressive externally audited track record, our proprietary stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank -- is a more conclusive indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, as it effectively harnesses the power of earnings estimate revisions. The size of the recent change in the consensus estimate, along with three other factors related to earnings estimates, has resulted in a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for Dell Technologies.The chart below shows the evolution of the company's forward 12-month consensus EPS estimate:12 Month EPSRevenue Growth ForecastWhile earnings growth is arguably the most superior indicator of a company's financial health, nothing happens as such if a business isn't able to grow its revenues. After all, it's nearly impossible for a company to increase its earnings for an extended period without increasing its revenues. So, it's important to know a company's potential revenue growth.For Dell Technologies, the consensus sales estimate for the current quarter of $24.66 billion indicates a year-over-year change of +10.5%. For the current and next fiscal years, $96.52 billion and $104.96 billion estimates indicate +9.2% and +8.8% changes, respectively.Last Reported Results and Surprise HistoryDell Technologies reported revenues of $24.37 billion in the last reported quarter, representing a year-over-year change of +9.5%. EPS of $2.15 for the same period compares with $1.88 a year ago.Compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $24.56 billion, the reported revenues represent a surprise of -0.79%. The EPS surprise was +4.37%.The company beat consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters. The company topped consensus revenue estimates three times over this period.ValuationWithout considering a stock's valuation, no investment decision can be efficient. In predicting a stock's future price performance, it's crucial to determine whether its current price correctly reflects the intrinsic value of the underlying business and the company's growth prospects.While comparing the current values of a company's valuation multiples, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S) and price-to-cash flow (P/CF), with its own historical values helps determine whether its stock is fairly valued, overvalued, or undervalued, comparing the company relative to its peers on these parameters gives a good sense of the reasonability of the stock's price.The Zacks Value Style Score (part of the Zacks Style Scores system), which pays close attention to both traditional and unconventional valuation metrics to grade stocks from A to F (an An is better than a B; a B is better than a C; and so on), is pretty helpful in identifying whether a stock is overvalued, rightly valued, or temporarily undervalued.Dell Technologies is graded A on this front, indicating that it is trading at a discount to its peers. Click here to see the values of some of the valuation metrics that have driven this grade.Bottom LineThe facts discussed here and much other information on Zacks.com might help determine whether or not it's worthwhile paying attention to the market buzz about Dell Technologies. However, its Zacks Rank #3 does suggest that it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term.Only $1 to See All Zacks' Buys and SellsWe're not kidding.Several years ago, we shocked our members by offering them 30-day access to all our picks for the total sum of only $1. No obligation to spend another cent.Thousands have taken advantage of this opportunity. Thousands did not - they thought there must be a catch. Yes, we do have a reason. We want you to get acquainted with our portfolio services like Surprise Trader, Stocks Under $10, Technology Innovators,and more, that closed 228 positions with double- and triple-digit gains in 2023 alone.See Stocks Now >>Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL): Free Stock Analysis ReportTo read this article on Zacks.com click here.Zacks Investment ResearchWeiter zum vollständigen Artikel bei Zacks

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Nachrichten zu Dell Technologies

Analysen zu Dell Technologies

DatumRatingAnalyst
01.12.2023Dell Technologies BuyUBS AG
08.08.2019Dell Technologies Equal WeightBarclays Capital
20.06.2019Dell Technologies BuyDeutsche Bank AG
11.01.2019Dell Technologies Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
09.01.2019Dell Technologies OutperformWolfe Research
DatumRatingAnalyst
01.12.2023Dell Technologies BuyUBS AG
20.06.2019Dell Technologies BuyDeutsche Bank AG
11.01.2019Dell Technologies Market PerformBMO Capital Markets
09.01.2019Dell Technologies OutperformWolfe Research
28.02.2018Dell Technologies BuyDeutsche Bank AG
DatumRatingAnalyst
08.08.2019Dell Technologies Equal WeightBarclays Capital
12.07.2016EMC NeutralMizuho
01.06.2016EMC NeutralUBS AG
21.04.2016EMC HoldDeutsche Bank AG
20.04.2016EMC HoldMaxim Group
DatumRatingAnalyst
19.11.2012Dell sellCitigroup Corp.
19.11.2012Dell underperformCredit Suisse Group
10.10.2012Dell sellCitigroup Corp.
23.08.2012Dell underperformCredit Suisse Group
19.08.2011Dell underperformCredit Suisse Group

Um die Übersicht zu verbessern, haben Sie die Möglichkeit, die Analysen für Dell Technologies nach folgenden Kriterien zu filtern.

Alle: Alle Empfehlungen

Buy: Kaufempfehlungen wie z.B. "kaufen" oder "buy"
Hold: Halten-Empfehlungen wie z.B. "halten" oder "neutral"
Sell: Verkaufsempfehlungn wie z.B. "verkaufen" oder "reduce"